He will then become a TV evangalist & end up bigger that Jimmy Swaggart & Jerry Falwell combined. He will then take over from Billy Graham as the pre- eminent evangalist in the Christian world.
Most of this symposium discusses how a currency on the gold standard should operate - - using modern analytical methods. Topics discussed included: How much gold reserves to handle exchange rate fluctuations for each country ( ie gold would be bought and sold to neutralize fluctuations in the currency ) , and why going on the gold standard should be done secretly without the knowledge of the public. So we know much thought has gone into this.
My question to both of you is this: For this to work, each country should have a certain amount of gold in relation to the size of its economy, and the currency ( EURO ) would have to be firmly linked to so many ounces of gold, as the Pound Sterling and the American dollar were years ago. What evidence do we really have right at this moment that this is the case?
As far as I know the only Bank in the world that is still on the gold standard is the BIS in Basel Switzerland. Now if the Euro is to be firmly backed by gold ( true gold standard ) - - just like the BIS, that would be news indeed - - and a real threat to the dollar. After the SEAsian fiasco, the Asian currency to be will probably be firmly backed by gold. That's what I would do if I were an Asian.
Unfortunately, I think we will find after all the excitement about european gold hoarding is that Germany, France and Italy ( and perhaps the United States ) just bought some gold when it was cheap. My guess is that at this point in time the EURO to be unveiled on 1/1/1999 will not be backed by gold, but will be supported by gold, just as the US dollar and Swiss frank are right now.
Please convince me that I am wrong - - I would love to invest in the Euro if it was to be stronger than the Swiss Frank - - which is at the moment only supported by gold, but not backed by gold.
Re your comment on Indonesian potential for
"instablity" - The idea of instability only has ANY
meaning to me in the following context.
1. are investments in that country subject to
loss because of revolution and an abrupt change to
an less investor friendly Government that may initiate
punitive taxes or new costs on my investment ( for exp
Austalia institution - and thern withdrawal of Gold
Mining Tax ) , or civil disruption to the point that my
investment may be destroyed or shut down for a long
time ( example Namibia- Gold field namib ) , or is it
likely that a fall in the currency may occur that may
harm the value of my investment ( for ex mexico- Asian
tigers ) .
2. IF I plan to LIVE as well as invest in that
country - is it Safe for me to do so. And will I be
in any way disadvantaged because of any wealth I may
have or gains I may make.
If your investments are in gold mining fears of
currency devaluations can be eliminated forthwith.
Net result of this is a wash on a mining investment
as profits RISE to offset most of currency loss.
"Instabilty" effects have come from surprising
quarters. The Blanket assumption that RSA is less
stable ( in the above context ) than say Australia is
wrong. Australia has been hit by the imposition of
the capital gains tax - and the intent of the Govt
is to milk the mines as soon as it has a chance. Its
sale of gold to China?? was clearly insensitive to
its mining interests.
Who among the various experts at Kitco ( im NOT
being sarcastic ) would have taken view that the asian
tigers were unstable?? not me. I didnt invest there
just because I wasnt interested. I was lucky.
Indonesia has experienced the "night of the long
knives" - it has the potential for military coups -
it does not have established democratic traditions -
I an unsure of its judicial system - Its islands
are diverse and could act in their own interests and
fragment - ( ie why should Borneo pay taxes to a govt
in Java ) - It has a large and potentially militent
Moslem population - sooner or later these guys may
go fundamental. It IS potentally unstable.
Having said this - I still have about 20% of my
own investments there as the potential gains outweigh
the risks - I think. But I think so less than I did
a month ago.
I obviously disagree with you about RSA. I regard
it as somewhat more dangerous than the US as a place
to live. But a lot more pleasant and much cheaper.
It provides me a better life style than the US, or
even Australia ( much as I love it ) . It has no capital
gains tax, has not made high profile gold sales, issues
its own bonds rather than buy US paper, avoids the
Foreigb bank loans, has as good a judicial system as the
US ( vis OJS trial ) - does not use trial by jury
( a fiasco in a "diverse" society ( vis OJS trial ) , has
well established democratic institutions, Sits on top
of MORE gold and PMG than any country in the world.
IT has never confiscated gold from its citizens.
It has no natural enemies other than those in the world
press organizations.
It has a high crime rate and a growing drug
problem - But not where I live.
You asked if anyone thinks that the South African
stocks will outperform the NA stocks - Yes I do.
I think there is no doubt about that whatsoever.
But you stick to your NA stocks - they are fine -
I dont think you will LOSE. And you will be comfortable
with them and THATS important - Money is really not
everything.
Believe Soros is an IMF/WORLD BANK hitman wannabe.
He does the dirty work - They pick up the country.
He's not as smart as you think he is - Stirling
was his really big time coup - many saw it coming -
he just played it to the hilt.
Question - Why did so many Asian countries use foreign
bank finance rather than float their own bonds
internationally. RSA uses bonds.
Probably because NY banks refused debt rollover in
1989 ( ?? ) . Now there's a case. Not much talked
about. RSA under nats then said - stuff off - we'll
pay you - slowly and when we have the dough. SET
BAD precedent - Banks wanted RSA collapse clearly.
Koreans and indonesians should come here fast and
learn how this was done.
Good news is that Mugabe in Zim is eating mud
sandwich prepared by IMF and wondering if he will
wind up like his hero Carcescu if he chokes on it.
To All
Because of recent interest in NA mines - believe I
must take a closer look. Maybe Im missing something.
Where is best place to find most recent earnings
reports??.
I just read this baloney and I quote it. This is for
the comic strips.
"The Europeans added together have as much or more with public
held Gold, than the US so far, BUT!! they do not mine Gold in any
great quantity. Which leaves the BIG QUESTION OF SOUTH AFRICA!
Will the US allow the Euro's and the Chinese who have just formalized
diplomatic relations with SA, get a hold of that GOLD? I don't believe
they will. IHMO and I HOPE this scenario does NOT come about,
but "they" will forment troubles there one can begin to see the start of said caipaign, so that only little gold is mined. "
My response - In your sick DREAMS - little z.
under control of agent "madman Z" plan foment all
kinds of trouble here.
1. As I reported earlier man hours lost due to strikes
are one fifth what they were 3 years ago. Hmmm.
Agents seem to have screwed up in the labour area.
2. RSA foreign debt is less than 5 per cent of
GNP. Thailand same basis 80% . S, Korea same basis
120 % . Believe agents cant spring a banking coup.
3. I know - maybe the US/candian agents ( dressed
as chinamen of course ) plan to fill these great RSA
mines with guess what CHOP SUEY. This makes as much
sense as anything else in this jerk's foul dreams.
4. To get this in perspective - made 120,000 US on
friday. Come to poppa. We're talking serious greed
here.
5. Would be interested to know foreign debt/GNP
ratios Canada and Australia for comparison - anyone
interested??
BEIJING: Chinese geologists have found 41 tonnes of gold reserves near a major gold mine in the southern province of Hunan, the Xinhua news agency said.
The team also found 150,000 tonnes of antimony and 6,000 tonnes of tungsten trioxide around the Western Hunan Gold Mine, Xinhua said in an overnight report seen on Sunday.
The new findings were estimated to have a value of more than 6 billion yuan ( US$722 million ) , the agency said.
The Western Hunan Gold Mine was the largest gold production base in southern China, and the discoveries would prolong the life of the mine by 30 years, it said. - Reuters
BEIJING: China's central bank has no plans at present to cut the official purchase price of gold, an official of the bank's gold and silver management department said on Friday.
Despite falling world gold prices, the People's Bank of China would retain the official purchase price of 2,737 yuan ( US$329.8 ) per ounce it set last July, the official told Reuters by telephone.
"We did not issue any notice to cut the gold price, and are still using the price issued last July," he said.
He also said he was unaware of future plans to cut the price in line with lower world gold prices since last year.
Gold hit an 18- 1/2 year low of $278.50 on the 12 January morning fix in London and on Thursday was fixed at US$293.80.
The US dollar's strength and economic slumps in major gold- buying countries in Southeast Asia have cut demand for the metal.
China's state media have quoted gold industry officials as warning the country's gold mining firms to prepare for price cuts. The sector was suffering slumping profits despite record output.
China produced 166.3 tonnes of gold in 1997, up 37.9 per cent from the year before, but its gold sector posted profits of only US$6.03 million, the gold bureau of the Ministry of Metallurgical Industry said this week.
China's gold reserves stood at 12.67 million ounces at the end of 1997, unchanged from the end of the previous year, the Financial News said on Friday. - Reuters
You have a good point - North Americans are big believers
in and slaves to perceptions. Initially buying for RSA
stocks ( Im talking man in the street money ) will come from
Europe whose investors are much more savvy about RSA than
Yanks/canadians. Germans are everywhere here.
Later on Greed will kick in for Yanks - When Yanks learn
of the money others have made in these stocks - they will stop
listening to the slanted press and others ( with some agenda
of their own perhaps harking back to childhood experiences )
and come in with their ears back.
Long term for a 16 year old - half Harmony half Vaals.
DDeep - is for strong nerves only .
Owning some rsa stock is good for a 16 year old for
other reasons - when strange people come from under rocks
or from the woodwork claiming expertise when all they really
possess is mouth power he will learn to recognize this and
ignore them or dump on them as he wishes, and think for himself.
The dough is nice too.
Ive only gotta contend with a lightweight like z.
IMAGINE having to deal with Gilchrist
I like others Im sure had forgotten that Nixon was not
impeached - thanks
Have you any info on possible re mobilization of the Army
of Northern Virginia?? I'm waiting.
Particularly Brother Vronsky -
The buyers of Durban deeps - have been .......
The Hong Kong Shanghai Bank via Simsom Mckee.
As I said - Im SURE their earnings cant be that
good ( i can be wrong of course ) - but I dont think
they will break even below 325$ - Any reason HBSC
would want this kind of stock so badly - and be so
sure of themselves. Its up 38% now from Friday
close here - This is spooky.
Ok glad to hear the rebs are taking their time ...
wait for the "rite momet" as we say down theah ...
Ive got some time to make some dough while they fan out.
regarding hbsc - - My Broker looks at orders placed - if broker
looks odd - - simpson mckee - he know they deal for honk honk
shang. You dont have to be 007.
This could be fiendishly clever way for banks to hedge
short position without tipping hand -
Cash is minimal and debt has amassed to over $45 million, fortunately cash operating costs appear to be improving, HIGH RISK
Haggis - would you please again post the symbols for East Coast and Legend?
TIA !
Thomos Stearns E.... could not have said it better.
For Mozel
No way ... Total confusion now - local buying has caught on.
You can only see the broker with the bid BEFORE the transaction
- after that the info dissapears. The gold index here up 10.5
per cent today. Lots of money... Oooooooo feels good.
For all
Speaking of that. Did you know that it is the habit of
wolves upon returning to their pack to gently bite the Muzzle
of their leader.
This is similar to the Mafia or Catholic Church practice of
Kissing the Ring of the Archbishop or Godfather - So perhaps
BC does not in fact see it ( BJ ) as a sexual practice at all
but merely a method of acknowledging that the is the Leader.
Do you think it'll go down?? I mean will the press buy it ??
Deeps is up another 16 % today - It has almost
doubled in a week or so. Harmony is up close to
50% in a week. Deeps takes bigger b*lls than Harmony though.
Bigger than I got.
To all nervous nellie investors - I am sure that if
you wait patiently a time will come whem your NA
stocks will outperform the South Africa. However,
when that time comes I will have sold out years ago
and been spending time with some gorgeous bimbo
on some tropical beach ( in my dreams anyway ) - more
likely losing it all back at the track.
Top Ten Holdings as of 12/31/1997
EURO- NEVADA MINING CORP LTD EN
GETCHELL GOLD CORP GGO
PLACER DOME INC PDG
FRANCO- NEVADA MINING CORP LTD FN
NEWMONT GOLD CO NGC
MERIDIAN GOLD INC MDG
GREENSTONE RESOURCES LTD GRERF
PRIME RESOURCES GROUP INC PRU
BUENAVENTURA ( CIA DE MIN ) CL T BVN
PIONEER GROUP INC PIOG
In desert countries, madmen and madwomen are highly
revered and treated with great respect and gentleness
for truly they are the children of al- lah. I must always
remember my desert training enshal- lah. If I stray, please
guide me back to the true path, my friend. Al- lah o Ak- bar.
You literally beat the bejesus outa spots. Whew
YOu have COVERED it.
This confirms the move up in the PMM's
Buy gold stocks!!
I wasnt thinking of you actually. You
have respect in or out of the desert. You know
dmitri and igor and sergei. Ever hear sergei's
waltz suite - walzes from cinderella and war and peace
Great with a little absolute.
Why would someone want to buy Durban for 3 3/4, when they can get Randgold for 2? I don't get it....am I missing something here?
The only thing I can think of it that people don't know about Randgold, or they are spending big bucks, and Randgold usually trades fewer shares.
Does anyone know the present NAV of Randgold, the discount it is at, or a URL for S.A. quotes? Thanks.
PRECIOUS METALS: COMEX and NYMEX precious metals futures were seen
opening mostly higher, with gold getting underpinning from the
announcement that Homestake Mining Co would be cutting gold
production. The potential of cutback of gold production given the
historically low price of gold has been expected by many analysts,
and in part, has contributed to the recent rebound in prices.
February gold was seen opening up $3.50 to $4.50 an ounce from
Friday's close at $300.30. March silver was called to open
unchanged from Friday's close at $5.893 an ounce. See Full Story
at http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id= 7151478- aaf
CURRENCIES: The dollar opened US trading flat to slightly firmer
after recovering from overnight lows, but dealers said new gains
would be hard won as a sex scandal involving U.S. President Bill
Clinton commands attention. "The Clinton thing is the only thing
anyone in the market is talking about, everything else including
problems with Indonesia and Korea's debt rescheduling talks is
going to take a back seat to whatever happens in Washington," a
dealer said. The US currency kicked off the week at 1.7790 marks,
unchanged from Friday's closing level, while dollar/yen opened
slightly firmer at 125.92 after Friday's 125.65 close. See Full
Story at
http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id= 7152637- e06
http://router.minot.com/~bohl/history/option/Gold if the spread sheet does not post correctly, see for yourself at this site...scroll down to DEC 98...
Dec 1998 Underlying Futures Price = 3093 Expiration Date = 981113
Strike Call Dollar Put Dollar Volume Volume
Price Premium Value Premium Value Call Put
23000 0 0.00 80 80.00 0 0
24000 0 0.00 110 110.00 0 0
25000 6100 6100.00 200 200.00 0 0
26000 5050 5050.00 260 260.00 0 3
27000 4270 4270.00 350 350.00 0 2200
28000 3350 3350.00 500 500.00 0 1252
29000 2600 2600.00 750 750.00 0 101
30000 1890 1890.00 1000 1000.00 28 0
31000 1430 1430.00 1500 1500.00 17 0
32000 1010 1010.00 2050 2050.00 0 0
33000 700 700.00 2700 2700.00 0 0
34000 500 500.00 3470 3470.00 29 0
35000 380 380.00 4300 4300.00 19 0
36000 230 230.00 5200 5200.00 37 0
37000 170 170.00 6130 6130.00 4 0
38000 130 130.00 7100 7100.00 56 0
39000 110 110.00 8100 8100.00 1 0
40000 80 80.00 9100 9100.00 19 0
41000 60 60.00 10100 10100.00 122 0
42000 50 50.00 11100 11100.00 0 0
43000 50 50.00 12100 12100.00 0 0
44000 40 40.00 13100 13100.00 0 0
45000 30 30.00 14100 14100.00 0 0
46000 30 30.00 15100 15100.00 6 0
47000 20 20.00 16100 16100.00 0 0
I wonder why?? Anyone?? Comments?? Losers? Winners? Well?? I wonder..........
away
Midas: Our quote of $301 and change at the time of your post was also accurate. Whoever showed you $306 was either out to lunch or trying to sell you something.
Just had Chinese new years dinner with a European businessman who knows 8 languages - - a 20 year survivor of world trade in Europe, Isreal and Asia. His career began in Israel. Has been in Asia ( Japan/Hong Kong ) for nearly 10 years until a few months ago. His summary:
1 ) China has nothing to lose by devaluing the Yuan ( SP? ) , since they are the biggest game in town - - the devaluation will scare off foreign investors only for a short time.
2 ) Shanghai is not sophisticated enough yet to handle trade with foreign countries - - complex financial arrangements, or delicate assembly of certain military, etc. items, so China still needs Hong Kong.
3 ) The IMF is not really offending the Asians all that much, because they will make promises to get the funds, as long as those promises don't involve anything substantial. I should have figured that out - - the Asians are masters at bargaining, so we do not have to feel all that guilty about the IMF's clumsy efforts. My associate was very clear that the solution to the SEAsia problem would be an Asian one, not a European or American one.
3 ) Israel is reluctant to give up certain land to the Palestinians, because that is where their defense plants are. Also - - the US is heavily involved in certain defense projects with Isreal, so the picture is more complicated that it looks to us from the other side of the ocean. Also, as you might imagine, the Israelis are very nervous about Clinton's problems, just when sensitive negotiations are going back and forth. Did you know Syria is now complaining that Clinton's problems were orchestrated by an Israeli group to disrupt peace negotiations?
I liked your comments about the China/Japan Oil/gold ( ? ) connection. Japan likes to plan years - decades or more - - in advance. If they expected disruption of Middle East oil supplies could occur ( very reasonable ) they would buy Oil from China, even if China demanded gold instead of US treasuries or other paper money. ANOTHER as you say may be alluding to this with his Oil/gold comments. Regardless of what ANOTHER is up to, his posts are from a fresh perspective - - and clues can often be found in his posts - - that lead to other investigative discoveries. The China- Japan- Oil- ( ? ) gold connection may be making the European/Arab interests very nervous.
Do you think Argentina is bankrupt? Looks like their gold reserves are history. Also - - do you think the EURO is to be firmly backed by gold like the BIS? I don't think so - - I think all we have is the discovery that Germany, France and ?Italy are not selling their gold - - just as the US is not selling gold, and may actually be buying. Please see farfel's posts about this.
My personal impression is that at the current time, the EURO central bank will have gold to "back up" their currency, just like the US dollar and the Swiss frank. There will be no threat to the US dollar until the EURO is firmly backed up by gold. Now - - I wonder - - wouldn't you expect the Asians to want a gold- backed Asian currency, after their fiasco with the unstable US dollar? That may be a biger threat to the dollar and the Euro! Interesting time we live in! Take care!
The problem of the United States is to neutralize him without destabilizing the Middle East, and drawing in China as the only nuclear power available to counter the power of the US. Russia's role in that area is clearly destabilizing, as they are indiscriminantly selling weapons to those that can afford it.
There is a small chance at peace in the Middle East if the Europeans and the USA take the initiative. And - - that is that the Arabs do not trust Russia or China given that their ideology is so foreign to Islam. It would be a shame for example to let overtures from the new president of Iran slip away. But - - that's probably what will happen - - given the political climate on both sides of the ocean. This is when we need a great statesman - - before the war - - not after it when much damage had been done.
Sorry for the soap boxing - - couldn't help it!
***********
The recent Korean gold collection campaign has been successful in accumulating a few hundred tons of the shiny stuff in very short order. Although these folks were forthright in announcing the success of this program, their intentions of what they would do with their accumulation was not as clear.
At the outset of the program, the government announced the tonnage would be sold outright with the proceeds primarily being used to shore up the ( then ) falling won. Then later when they have the bullion in hand they suggest the better part may be retained in their vaults as a metal reserve. I strongly believe they intentionally used this double- talk to work towards their advantage. Allow me to explain towards what end.
Having stated they would keep their newly- accumulated gold within the country, combined with their reassurance to overhaul their financial practices, has provided relative stability to their local currency. But in reality, they remain cash hungry and are in fact selling the bulk of the metal onto the open market in a desperate move to pay off their maturing debts that weren't covered under the recent bank credit extensions ( or perhaps just to help meet the interest payments on their extended debts. ) If true, it is indeed an ingenious ploy - well done gentlemen! Make the world think your keeping the gold ( provides won stability ) while actually using the stuff to generate cold hard cash ( to pay the bills. ) At least it's bought Korea some precious extra time to recover.
In terms of the impact on the POG in the short- term ( for the next 4- 6 weeks out - or longer if the program continues at its current success rate ) their bullion divestment program will act as a damper to prevent any significant upward price swings. IMHO they are selling gold onto the market in smaller chunks, taking advantage of upward price moves without impacting the price in a sustained negative fashion. A great way to ensure a stable cash flow.
During this period, I look forward to capitalizing on gold stock price movements as the shiny stuff continues to oscillate within the 275- 300 price range.
They billed for the War and also still charge heavily for 30,000 troop + 300 Aircraft presence.
Democracy is not the motive, No way, it is media's tale to Joe6Pack
My guess is that Saddam already has some terrorists in the US - - thanks to our supporting him all of these years, and he will act when he thinks he will get the most benefit from his actions. My only point is that he is like a "caged animal" at this point, and has no other solution but to goad us on. What does he have to lose?
And yes - - I do remember that silly female American ambassador to Iraq who told Saddam that we would not react if he invaded Kuwait. I think one of our American problems is that our foreign policy is no where near as good as it should be - - we are adding fuel to the fire - - and the consequences we will all regret - - in the US as well as in the Middle East.
We would do far better if we were supporting democracies in that part of the world.
Having said that, are there routes available to big- time sellers/buyers that permit them to execute gold sales outside/bypassing traditional markets in a manner that would keep ( at least ) the seller's identity confidential? Obviously I'm new at this golden game and do value your opinion on this topic. Thanks in advance.
I find it amazing how much depth of knowledge the Kitco site has -- not only of gold -- but other matters that impinge ultimately on the value of gold.
It seems that, many of us who see the dishonesty of paper money inflation also have a more keen eye for other kinds of dishonesty.
convinced the avg American that Saddam was such a great threat to world peace & freedom. Right up there with Hitler.
Some of the propaganda that came out, such as the Iraqi soldiers unpluging the incubators, was so outlandish & ridiculous that it boggles the mind to think that reasonable & intelligent people actually believed it. From that point on I lost all confidence that the average individual in the western democracies had the ability to think & reason for him/herself.
After such a massive runup on Friday, gold/gold stocks did remarkably well. Usually with the
After such a massive runup on Friday, gold/gold stocks did remarkably well. Usually with the
After such a massive runup on Friday, gold/gold stocks did remarkably well. Usually with the 'one night stand' twitches that are temporary only due to momentary panics, gold goes up one day, only to drop most of the way back down the next day. Not this time!
Did anyone notice that the Oil/Defense stocks went up at the end of the day?
I wonder why!
It's always a pleasure to hear from you ----
http://www.infobeat.com/stories/cgi/story.cgi?id=7157694-f0b
and Platinum is ready to 'go' AGAIN.....buy the dips...no?
away
You have always been bookmarked.
Respectfully submitted
Please,
Do not change your mind, keep your goal in sight and a fist on the table for the commercials.
Please stay a little tollerant as always for the funny peoples as TED and TORT and all the others who disregards the rules ,but give respect for other mindset and are not TOO much advertising for their house...
PS: I like Vronsky, but once a shift on Kitco should be ok most of the time for me to be remembered to check his marvellous site.
This is Bart's ( free ) site, and we are his quests. Your guests are on invitation only as well, if you think about it. Why don't you think about what you are doing -- what if Bart reacted the way you are reacting now? He might decide that he has had enough and shut us all down! Please -- for the sake of our little world -- think about what I am saying, and cool off for a while. We want the usually calm logical Vronsky back that we like so much!
Find out more about Kitco at info@kitco.com, or call 1-800-363-7053.
Copyright © 1996 Kitco Minerals & Metals Inc.