Here is a pop-quiz for you. From January 1959 ( repeat 1959 ) to Janueary 1995, WHICH STOCK performed the best, IBM or Homestake Mining?
How come such a seemingly dumb question? Because the answer was so surprising to me - and I think will be to most people. The answer is HOMESTAKE MINING!
Homestake appreciated at a compound rate of 6.5%, while IBM crawled along at a mere 4.5%. By comparison the DJIA grew by about 5.25% during the same 37-year period.
Who doubts gold stocks can be a good long-term investment?
Here is what a $10,000 in each what have done during the 37-year period -
IBM@ 4.5%$48,800
DJIA... @ 5.25%.$63,100
HM .. .@ 6.5% ..$96,500
Source: Garside Forecast - 1995 TIMER OF THE YEAR WINNER ( TIMER DIGEST )
away...to shore up the house....we're floating again.
sandbaggedtothehilt
go abx.
Kentucky had better DE-Molish Stanford!! AAAAAAArgh!!
and GO FREDDY!!!! Poor John Daly, he is looking quite portly since he quit the booze. What a clutch golfer though, with a Major or two behind him. He can win it. Golf and College b-ball. Who was it that, earlier today, that you work all week so you can sit yer ass on the couch and drink beer and watch sporting events. My hat off to ya! Your great sagacity has led me to my couch to slurp cold ones and ponder your post. Damn! you're good!
away...to act like a potato ( e )
?in
away...
?
go gold.
hey I always knew you never was no libral !!
for gianni
Ok I forgive you .. but then I'm easy
The 1928 - 1929 Barron's piece is a very poor article indeed, with even a date mistake. It does not mention that gold ownership was the only way to protect yourself against the market crash and against the massive real estate deflation ( the best way to protect yourself... even though the POG was fixed, then! ) . The Barron's article was, however, stressing the high stock market volatility in 1928... volatility that is NOT YET here in early 1998... It's coming, though!... Great time to make big profits here and there...
The US stock market is not ready for a real market crash, IMHO. Because:
( a ) we tal
A number of gold stock securities were at a high in mid-March 1997, but in a downtrend which began in the previous year. Since that last high all gold securities have come down hard. However, recent positive price action strongly suggests the long awaited bull is here at last. Consequently, it behooves us to carefully evaluate what gold securities have the probability for the greatest per cent gain in the near future.
Our fundamental report "GLOBAL GOLD COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS" clearly shows the South African golds to have far superior value based upon total reserves, and the best market price per share for those reserves. Subsequently, I would like here to submit additional technical support to our conclusion that 1998''s biggest play will be in South African gold stocks.
For my comparison I will again use Polarbear's favorites of Randgold ( RANGY ) and Durban Deep ( DROOY ) - see his Internet report "RANDGOLD & EXPLORATION." To represent the best North-American gold companies I will use as their proxy Fidelity Select American Gold mutual fund ( FSAGX ) .
History demonstrates that succeeding bull markets always take out its past highs. This one will be no exception. Consequently, when the looming gold bull market progresses to that stage, we will see each of the above three securities again reach their March 1997 highs. Following are the expected per cent appreciation of these securities. You may check my figures by going to the website listed below - just set default parameters for "3-years/weekly and Stochastics for an 8 period ) :
http://cbs.marketwatch.com/data/_charts/achart.htx
FSAGX will appreciate this per cent to reach 1997 high: ....72%
DROOY will appreciate this per cent to reach 1997 high: .270%
RANGY will appreciate this per cent to reach 1997 high: ..480%
One doe NOT have be a Warren Buffett nor a Bernard Baruch to "analyze" the merits of this little technical comparison. To reach old highs FSAGX will less than DOUBLE, DROOY will nearly QUADRUPLE, and RANGY will nearly SEXTUPLE in appreciation. On top of all this, the two South African gold mining companies are up to their eye-balls in cheaply valued gold deposits in comparison to their North-American brethren.
There is no decision making process here --as the answer blares out into our faces:
1998'S BIG PLAY WILL BE SOUTH AFRICAN GOLD STOCKS..
The last quote I have for LYDX is 26cents on the 26th, since I own this stock I would like more info myself. Preacher follows it, maybe he would have some insight.
when Gold went to $338. I cancelled it within four days on my website
when Gold did not follow through. You are also right that Gold
subsequently fell to $278, but that was in January 1998.
As to the "incorrect predictions" I have made since then, I haven't
made any calls on my website until the Gold "buy signal" I put out
there on Feb 27 and the Gold bottom signal I put out yesterday.
If you read my latest "Gold Commentary", you would have seen the
emphasis on trading DISCIPLINE. There was that discipline in
place in October 1997 and it is in place now.
It is not being wrong that loses people lots of money, it is the
refusal to admit to being wrong. That's what trading discipline is
all about. Anyone who bought Gold in the $330s and then held to
$278 simply refused to admit they were wrong.
The technical factors all pointed to a gold move last October. It
didn't happen and the signal was cancelled. They point to a Gold move
now. The technical signals are unmistakable, so I have called a Gold
bottom. But since the future is uncertain, and always will be,
I have protective levels in place, this time, $295.
Find out more about Kitco at info@kitco.com, or call 1-800-363-7053.
Copyright © 1996 Kitco Minerals & Metals Inc.
Idcibm
IDcibm
I DON'T CARE, I BOUGHT AS MUCH AS I HAVE F.R.NOTES TO TRADE FOR.
I BOUGHT IT CHEAP.
BESIDES, SHOW ONE TO A FRIEND, AND THEY WANT IT TOO!
GO Au,Ag,Pt,Pd.......SWC