J. Orlin Grabbe is one of the leading experts in the expanding area of financial data encryption systems being developed for the new CyberEconomy. He is also one of the world's leading experts on international finance. His textbooks on the subject are ubiquitous in top universities worldwide. No serious student of international finance is unaware of who he is and what he has done. He is a Harvard Ph.D. While a professor at Wharton, he trained many of the top traders and derivatives experts as well as the "quants" who run Wall Street's automated
computer trading systems.
Anyway, FWIW, here's the report of the Real Estate as reported in the paper: ( it *must* be true if it's in the paper ) :- )
"Nevada: 400 Acres of mining land in Central Nevada and 10 acres of vacant parcels in Las Vegas. Appraised at 8.8 Million.
California: 367 acres of land in Los Angeles County. Appraised at $15 million. Also 7,040 acres in unincorporated Riverside County. No appraisal available.
Mexico: Nine ranches near the city of Chihuahua totalling 125,000 acres of developed and undeveloped land. Appraised at 2.72 Billion."
I'll get a map to the warehouse as soon as they print it in the paper. :- )
I know someone posted what all the CB holdings were, but I let it go by. I'd be curious to discover on what scale the "Las Vegas Warehouse" has compared to CB's.
Another insightful and incisive report on the market's rapidly deteriorating condition.
"If this is not speculative frenzy run amok, we don't know
what is. Plainly, we are at the pinnacle of the stock
market mania and can expect the popping of the bubble at
any time now. Mindless buying of severely overvalued
technology stocks by investors from companies who cannot hope
to live up to such high expectations, especially in light of the
Asian crisis, and a developing slowdown in the tech sector, is
living proof that rationality has been thrown out the window."
"The long and complex topping process
evidenced in the DJIA and the S&P 500 indices is flashing
a clear bearish warning signal and appears to have
completed its formation."
"speculative frenzy run amok" - and " ultimate resistance has been met."
The stock market's path of least resistance is DECIDELY DOWNWARD.
Full report at following URL - it will be necessary to delete the extra letters "en" in the word "golden" before pasting the URL to your Internet locator:
http://www.golden-eagle.com/gold_digest_98/droke062998.html
They have lost control .....BUT, just in case you may ever need encryption, you may want to download one of the free versions of PGP ( pretty good privacy ) from this site before they try to block it.
Got Gold?
go plat ( ? ) ....when........ ( ugh ) ....is it gearing up? or will the wheels fall smack off.........hum dee dum....let's have some fun.
away.....from F*
got sugar? ohmy?
What really worries me is the steady climb of the US dollar, presumably mostly due to the fall of the Japanese Yen, althought it has risen relative to other currencies as well. This is not good for any currencies still pegged to the dollar.
Rangy is coming right on down to our buy zone. Are you ready?
Speaking of certain Kitco brothers, a mans true colors are best revealed
when he is under pressure.
http://www.forbes.com/asp/redir.asp?/forbes/by/shankexx.htm
Robby Rubin defends the IMF
Have you left anyone out? If you are invested 100% in gold or gold stocks, based on your own advice, I would suggest backing off a bit. That should do wonders for your mood. I have some of my money in equities.
Oldman was right, the US market bull is still with us. One thing about predicting a market demise is that one can describe the fundamental weaknesses of a market, but one can never predict the exact time for a fall.
Just like the nonexistent gold bull -- the fundamental forces are gathering, but the time for a solid rally has not yet come. The CRY0 should declare itself soon -- probably when there is an ElNino/LaNina related crop failure. Then gold may rally.
Given the strength of the US dollar, it is amazing that gold is doing as well as it is.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/hi/english/business/the_economy/newsid_122000/122332.stm
Yeltsin in a speech today insisted that there is no crisis. Yeah.
http://www.suntimes.com/output/novak/novak2.htm
Another true story: A client of mine was a collector of "evil" guns, un-PC "how-to build explosives" books and miscellanous free thinking, reform-the-government literature ( all legally obtained - bought, downloaded off the net, or received thru the mail ) , etc. He was a lot more way-out looking than I ever would consider, but was a nice guy, veteran of the Desert Bullsh!t War, and productive member of the local economy ( mechanic & race car driver ) . Unfortunately, he allowed one of his "friends" to borrow his personal vehicle. That person left a small amount of weed in the car's ashtray. After he got the car back from his friend, the Cops pulled the owner over, searched the car, found "the stuff", and nailed him on the spot for possession. Later, the local cops got a warrant to search his house for more contraband. No dope found but, all of a sudden, he became the local "Unabomber" copy cat to the local press - photo spread showing a "cache of firearms, ammunition, anti-bgovernment books, literature", etc. ( all legal ) . Descriptions in the paper included "potential terrorist foiled" to "fanatic in our midst". They claimed that common household & shop chemicals ( ammonia, various acids used for cleaning, etc. ) were going to be used for bombmaking! Eventually, all charges were dropped, but the poor fellow lost his job, had to sell his house and move out of town. Couldn't find a lawyer to represent him - not even the retired Air Force Colonel who is suing the Fed Govt. Cops had "probable cause" and within their power to do what they did. It could happen to any of us....in the good ole U.S. of A.
spot gold 294 ( no chnage )
spot palladium 292.00 ( down 4 )
spot platinum 354.00 ( down 2 )
spot silver 5.30 ( down .03 )
away...from this, this Kitco.......... ( crazy man stufF* )
EB
must have gotten some rain on those beanies over the weekend........ ( limit down ) ..................I sold *all* this a.m. at open.........It will be VERY choppy and VERY weather related from here on out........EH? Will look to re-enter next week or so........maybe............. ( got sugar ) ( ? )
StudioR........yu are too kind...........I am just the loudmouth who wouldn't shut up. I was told by my broker-dude that MANY peopleos are long the white............I would love to see a whole lotta new buying not just this short covering. Those bears still have some good positions I bet......and will not go quietly........................
AWAY ( ! ) .....ohmy!
EB
These two companies are THE saviest players out there and have a $800M cash position to play with, in a gold bull they both have super leverage relative to all stocks as they are chiefly a royalty owner.
Farfel claims to have bailed on gold, why is he freaking then? Truth no doubt is he didn't sell and is loosing patience, my guess is he has more than just beer money riding on gold. Doesn't excuse the behavior but I know the angst.
"the hyena barks yet the caravan passes"
Keep it up!
The 10% wealthiest folks keeps amassing ever higher percentages of the world's assets, from 33 to 48% in a hundred years. The poorest 20% share of the wealth slips from 1.7% to 0. Homelessness and poverty are the lot of many.
Fiscal imbalances between public income and expenditures resulted in deep government debt. Public deficits grew out of control.
As the next stage began, prices stopped their steady rise. Now wild price swings of increasing amplitude occurred. Inequality increased at a rapid rate. Public deficits surged higher. Economies became dangerously vulnerable to stresses.
Governments manipulated their coinage with an increasingly heavy hand, devaluing or revaluing their currencies. Governments imposed export controls to keep subjects from getting their money out the country and into safer currencies.
Both great and small states teetered on the edge of bankruptcy. They struggled to survive by borrowing heavily at ruinous rates of interest and by debasing their moeny, introducing powerful instabilities into the price system.
More workers competed for fewer jobs and wages lagged behind price increases.
The banking boom came to an end; While one of the world's largest banks struggled over a decade after its loans went sour to avoid collapse, many other banks greedily made loans to foreign nations. By necessity, they had to continue making ever larger and larger loans to keep defaults at bay. Gradually the loans and the banks collapsed, with many smaller ones going under before the greatest finally folded.
Exchange rates became highly unstable, creating dislocations in trade.
Oh, yeah. The late 13th and early 14th centuries were really rough. You should see what happened next . . . . another day.
paraphrased and condensed from THE GREAT WAVE by David Hackett Fischer
Oxford University Press, 1996.
All: Please read Kitcat's 13:03 today, especially Farfel. Much of our individual worth in this world is based on how we interact with others. Humans are social beings. If we act poorly, the biggest loser is the person who acts poorly, not the others who suffer by it.
Also, one day's bad performance can negate months of good will.
The master planner invented mathmatics, why should anyone be suprised?
I submit for your examination a chart of the XAU, CRB, and the ratio there of. During 1992, the average ratio of the CRB to the XAU was about 2.8 to 1. Later in time, a new ratio of about 2:1 was established for the time period between the second half of 1993 to the end of 1996. From the beginning of 1997 to now, this ratio has made new five year highs, indicating a SOMEWHAT oversold condition in the XAU with regard to the CRB index. In other words, the last time the XAU was this low, the CRB index was about five percent LOWER than it's current value. Does this mean that the XAU 'has' to rise or the CRB has more to fall?
Would I dare to beg the question and say that this 'proves' deflation ? Or... is this merely an oversold condition compounded by a lack of interest by the general investing public? Clearly, gold stocks have been a losing proposition for the last ~2 years ( with a few 'trading' exceptions ) . The current trends in gold offer us nothing new. The best ( ! ) that could be said of gold is that of a 'bottoming' type action. The worst? Well, I think enough has been said on that front.
My opinion? The battle ahead is one of currencies. 'Beggar thy neighbor', will be an expression heard more and more often. Could U.S. interest rates be heading higher? I don't think so. The dollar is already too strong, and any increase in the rates would only exacerbate this condition. Also, let's not forget those 'dollar pegs'. Could interest rates be heading lower? Quite possibly for the U.S., but not just yet. The Fed fears that an 'asset bubble' that may be forming in the stock market. I suppose that one could always just 'bailout' of the equities markets and hold cash or cash equivalents, but then what is 'cash' but a debt obligation of the government ( ? ) . In the end ( no pun intended ) , the asset that is NO ONES obligation, will look the most attractive. The problem for us as traders or investors, is, as usual, to know when to buy and when to sell. Unfortunately, the only tools we have to use in this regard is history and its' cyclical nature. I would like to say that a simple chart would be able to guide us, but, we are forced to deal with the madness and delusions of the crowds. A most annoying and vexing situation.
Remember, if you must play in this casino, try to use STOPS, STOP LOSS ORDERS, and LIMIT orders. This may not always be possible, but the money you might save, will be yours. Also, don't put all of your eggs in to one basket ( gold ) , remember, gold and its' derivatives are a HEDGE against something ( ? ) . 'Scoring' the 'BIG ONE' is for gamblers. Gamblers, in reality, want to lose.
Date: Mon Jun 29 1998 17:19
Prometheus ( @Difficult times ) ID#210235:
-
While early in the inflation, wages kept pace with prices, gradually wages slipped, to an
astonishing 40% decrease in buying power from their previous norms.
The 10% wealthiest folks keeps amassing ever higher percentages of the world's assets,
from 33 to 48% in a hundred years. The poorest 20% share of the wealth slips from 1.7% to
0. Homelessness and poverty are the lot of many.
Fiscal imbalances between public income and expenditures resulted in deep government debt.
Public deficits grew out of control.
As the next stage began, prices stopped their steady rise. Now wild price swings of
increasing amplitude occurred. Inequality increased at a rapid rate. Public deficits surged
higher. Economies became dangerously vulnerable to stresses.
Governments manipulated their coinage with an increasingly heavy hand, devaluing or
revaluing their currencies. Governments imposed export controls to keep subjects from
getting their money out the country and into safer currencies.
Both great and small states teetered on the edge of bankruptcy. They struggled to survive by
borrowing heavily at ruinous rates of interest and by debasing their moeny, introducing
powerful instabilities into the price system.
More workers competed for fewer jobs and wages lagged behind price increases.
The banking boom came to an end; While one of the world's largest banks struggled over a
decade after its loans went sour to avoid collapse, many other banks greedily made loans to
foreign nations. By necessity, they had to continue making ever larger and larger loans to
keep defaults at bay. Gradually the loans and the banks collapsed, with many smaller ones
going under before the greatest finally folded.
Exchange rates became highly unstable, creating dislocations in trade.
Oh, yeah. The late 13th and early 14th centuries were really rough. You should see what
happened next . . . . another day.
paraphrased and condensed from THE GREAT WAVE by David Hackett Fischer
Oxford University Press, 1996.
Total cash cost of gold per ounce $124.00. Pat for the first time this year sees gold's next move Up. Good news for your info.
Not to be confused with barter, BTW. More like big bills. Remember those?
When the inflation got real bad, one things rulers did was generate a 2 tier system of currency. One was used only within the realm, and forced upon the subjects. The other used between the realms was real money. Kind of like the REAL gold franc that is the basis of all the settlements at the BIS!
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
Maybe tomorrow I can describe the collapse of the first wave.
*GOLD* *PATTERN* *ALERT*
Yes, gold has made a pattern too and will take a nice jump ( up )
*SILVER PATTERN ALERT*
Yes.......why not go out on a limb and say ~~~~~~
*ALL METALS WILL RISE CONSIDERABLY THIS WEEK*
*UH HUH*
Earl......what does todays candlestick represent in azucar?.....check this out
http://www.futuresource.com/reg/cgi-bin/chart
type in - contract: sbv8 - Type: candle - Size: ( I like Med ) Med
Whats the 'hollow' center w/ sticks on both ends mean?? ( kinda looks like a firecracker.....will it explode ;- ) ( ? ) Waddya call it and is it bearish or bullish............ ( this is not a test but merely a question ) I am interested in candlestick study......uh huh.
I think F* is Hepster......uh huh. I am printing ALL of today's posts and sending them to Ted....he will get a kick out of 'em...........this, this kitco.........
away.......to spell......p.e.n.n.a.n.t.f.o.r.m.a.t.i.o.n.o.h.m.y.!.
I'll be willing to bet that if ya' all go to your gold-stock-charts that you will find patterns too..........uh huh.
I wanted to reply at the time about your thoughtful and eloquently expressed post about the "psychology" of honest money people.
The time wasn't right, though. Blooper would have flipped out with the ERLE thanking Earl. Not to mention the non-existent Earle.
I wonder why he gets annoyed when he is referred to as "bloomer"?
Although, he is funny at times with his absurd spelling. I rather like him.
away...to watch this move begin...
the charts never lie.....eventually...............
http://www.stratfor.com/services/gintel/redalert/
BBML - hope the dust has cleared by the time I get back!
would be a tidy moneymaker for the holders of physical.
I am dubious, even though I have a bit of it myself.
Let's get the knowledgeable ones together, poke 'em with a sharp stick, and let 'em have at it.
-Better than the off topic drivel of late.
Find out more about Kitco at info@kitco.com, or call 1-800-363-7053.
Copyright © 1996 Kitco Minerals & Metals Inc.
-EJ